SUNDAY’S WILD CARD MATCHUP

Author: Seth Joyner  //  Category: Uncategorized

 

 

 

Now that the regular season has determined who the 6 team are that will vie for  the coveted Lombardi trophy, let’s take a look at the Saturday’s Wild Card match ups of the first round of these 2013 playoffs.

Game 1, Colts vs Ravens. The news of the return and eminent retirement of Ray Lewis is sure to emotionally ignite the Ravens. But this team has struggled all year with injuries and inconsistent offensive production. Everyone has wondered with so much talent on offense and with a weapon like Ray Rice, why this teams struggles? Former offensive coordinator Cam Cameron took the fall being fired, but Joe Flacco has been as much to blame with inconsistent production all year. He is not at that point in his tenure what the Ravens have expected him be, he simply hasn’t developed.

Although Freeney and Mathis are not what they once were, they can still bring pressure on opposing QB’s. They will need to if Flacco and the Ravens get pass happy. The story of the Colts season has be number 1 overall  pick Andrew Luck, he has had a rookie season to remember, but will need help from some type of run game to keep the Ravens honest. I anticipate the Ravens bringing pressure to make Luck uncomfortable.

Ultimately, the Ravens offensive woes, and once the emotion of the return of Lewis fades the Colts will be able to exploit the defensive issues of this Ravens defense. Injuries to key players from Lewis, Suggs to Webb has limited their ability to be what they normally are. Luck is mature beyond his years, looking off defenses and audibling at the line of scrimmage, he also can make every throw necessary. Colts win, 28-10.

Game 2 Seahawks vs Redskins. This is probably the most anticipated game of the weekend. Rookie vs rookie, no one foresaw either of these QB’s having the type of year they had, particularly Russell Wilson. Robert Griffin III has put the NFL on notice with his ability to run, pass and with his decision making, both along with Luck are deserving candidates for Rookie of the Year.

The similarity of offenses in this game will create an interesting match up. Although the read option is the basis of the Redskin offense, it’s a segment of the Seahawks attack. Both have explosive and prominent running games and RB’s, and everything they do evolves off of their running game.

So what will separate these two teams? The Seahawk defense and special teams will be the difference. The corners for Seattle will allow them to commit more bodies to stopping the run with 8 man fronts. The Seahawks will be able to control Alfred Morris to make RGIII pass it more than he has all season. The Seahawks defensive front four can generate tremendous pressure with 4 or with their blitz packages. I believe the Redskins offense will see more pressure than they’ve seen all year. Secondly, Leone Washington is a game changer, he’s a threat to take it the distance every time he touches it and can flip field position as well.

At the end of the day both of these offenses are potent and can score a lot of points, but the Seahawk defense has played the most consistent all year. They will show RGIII some things he hasn’t seen all year, 7 & 8 man run gap blitzes on 1st and 2nd down to put this Washington’s offense in 3rd and long uncomfortable situations. Seahawks advance, 32-20.

 

Seth Joyner

SATURDAY’S WILD CARD MATCHUPS

Author: Seth Joyner  //  Category: Archives, Coaching, NFL, Uncategorized

 

 

 

 

 

Now that the regular season has determined who the 6 team are that will vie for  the coveted Lombardi trophy, let’s take a look at the Saturday’s Wild Card match ups of the first round of these 2013 playoffs.

Game 1 Bengals vs Texans. The Texans have gone into a slid losing the last 2 games of the year and losing the #1 seed and home field advantage throughout the playoffs. Psychologically, it has to have an adverse affect on this football team. You want to be peaking at this time of the year, not looking for answers.

The Bengals defensively present some problems for the Texans as one of the leagues better units. They lead the league in sacks and can generate pressure with just their front 4 as well as Mike Zimmer’s sophisticated blitz package. The  main factor for the Texans will be if they can get Arian Foster going. If they can the pressure on Matt Schaub will be minimal and he will be able to manage the game, if not the Texans will lose this game. Matt Schaub in my opinion is the lynch pin, he can make all of the throws, but he becomes very average when he has to carry the team throwing it 40 plus times. 

The Bengals offense can present some issues with their run game with BenJarvis green-Ellis and Andy Dalton has enough good receivers (AJ Green & co) to utilize play-action passing. The Texans defense has struggled, teams have beat them with balance and Marvin Lewis knows they cannot allow JJ Watt and that Texans defense to tee off on Dalton. The Bengals will make the Texans one dimensional to take the win, 24-14.

Game 2,  Vikings vs Packers, it is hard enough to play a team twice in one season, let alone a third time. They know each other extremely well and know what the dynamics are of winning and losing this match up. The Packers need to limit Adrian Peterson and that’s a tall order; he’s rushed for 409 yds on 55 carries and 3 TD’s in the 2 previous games. If they can make the Vikings one dimensional Christian Ponder will struggle.

Aaron Rodgers has the full compliment of his receiving corp available, the Packers will post points. A running game will make the Packers indefensible, but they’ve struggled to find a rushing attack all season, the Vikings consistently pressured Rodgers last week. Some tweaks and adjustments are forthcoming for the Packer offense and the Vikings secondary is beat up, Rodgers will look to take advantage of the Vikings young replacements. They will be groomed and coached to expect to see the previous Packers tendencies, but McCarthy and Rodgers adjustments will make a huge difference. Packers win 32-14.

 

Seth Joyner

REID TO BECOME THE CHEIFS NEXT HEAD COACH

Author: Seth Joyner  //  Category: Coaching, NFL, Uncategorized

 

As the NFL coaching carousel turns, and with the college bowl season wrapping up, vacancies should start to fill up very quickly.

The Kansas City Chief’s and Andy Reid have agreed that he will be their next head coach. The interview early on seem to have gone well enough for Reid to cancel other interviews with the Arizona Cardinals and potentially the San Diego Chargers.

Andy Reid is the type of coach who like to do things his way. The fact that the Chiefs are willing to give Reid control and power over player personnel matters was the deciding factor. Ultimately a head coach knows the type of players that fit their offensive and defensive systems. I liken a head coach to a chef, a he never sends someone else to shop for the ingredients he will use to cook, he does all the shopping, because he knows what’s necessary to create his dishes. Likewise head coaches like to evaluate and bring in the type of players they feel will give them the best chance to succeed.

Andy’s success as a head coach is unquestionable, 9 playoff appearances in 14 seasons, 5 trips to the NFC Championship game and 1 trip to the Super Bowl validates his ability to be a good coach in the NFL.

What I question is why the Chiefs, beyond control. They are a team that has great talent, but most of it is on the defensive side of the ball, with 5 Pro Bowlers on that side of the ball. But on the offensive side they are abysmal at best, with major questions at the QB, OL and WR position. Although Reid has worked wonders with a variety of QB’s in the past, his options at the moment are limited at best with Matt Cassel and Brady Quinn, and this years draft is thin as far as QB’s go. So you have to ask, is this a total rebuild in KC, in a league that demands that head coaches to win now? The Chiefs are a prime candidate for a rebuild for their long term benefit, at least on the offensive side of the ball. Is this what KC and Reid has agreed to? He was successful in turning the Philadelphia Eagles around and providing organizational stability, will he be given the time, resources and players to do the same in Kansas City is the big the question moving forward.

With the proper staff defensively, this team can be good, they were built by Romeo Crennel and if he is good at any facet of coaching it is at defensive football. But the problems with this football team is clearly offensive production and this will be Reid’s challenge. What moves will he make and how much will he uses RB Jamaal Charles given his desire to pass, and lastly how will he improve the QB and WR positions. With the 1st pick in this years NFL draft, that’s a great place to start.

 

Seth Joyner

RB’s, a Quarterbacks best friend

Author: Seth Joyner  //  Category: Uncategorized

 

I understand that the NFL is a QB driven league, they get paid the most, they get most of the attention, too much credit for wins and take to much of the fault for losses. Today is the day of young QB’s stepping into the starting role right out of college. The NFL boasted 6 starting rookie QB’s in week one. The top 2 picks in this years draft, Andrew Luck and Robert Griffin III are having solid rookie campaigns, but some veteran QB’s are struggling to get on track this season. Phillip Rivers just hasn’t had a reliable RB since LT and Michael Turner departed, and his play shows the importance of a good RB, you cannot line up and put it in the air 40+ times.

There is a trend with running QB’s that is not conducive to their success. Cam Newton is catch a tremendous amount of heat for his teams 1-6 start after such a promising rookie season. With 2 elite and well paid RB’s, Jonathan Stewart and DeAngelo Williams on the Panther roster, I see no reason why Cam should be leading this team in rushing yards and TD’s. Seems to me that this team is relying on Newton to do way to much for a young QB, he needs help.

Michael Vick is battling the turnover bug, with 8 Ints and 5 loss fumbles, and it is nothing short of miraculous that the Eagles are 3-3, Vick’s under tremendous pressure on and off the field. He  is a victim of the same lack of  run support that Cam faces. LeSean McCoy is a top 5 running back in the NFL, he’s only averaging 18.5 carries per game, but Michael Vick is averaging 38.5 passing attempt per game. Now there are 2 ways to protect your QB and increase his opportunity for success, you run the ball to create offensive balance or by superior line play and their O-Line is decimated.

Why the coaching staffs for Vick and Newton do not look at the benefits of a consistent rushing attack I don’t quite understand. The Broncos have gotten Peyton Manning  on track by pounding McGahee, Matt Schaub is probably having his best season so far with Foster getting it done. Elway had Davis, Montana and Young had Craig and Waters, Kelly had Thomas and Aikman had Smith. If it worked for these Hall of Famers why not for QB’s of today. The premise of the West Coast offense operated on the principal of running the ball to set up the pass. Struggling QB’s young and experienced, can get cured really fast with a rushing attack that keeps defenses honest.

 

Seth Joyner

EAGLES FIND THE FORMULA

Author: Seth Joyner  //  Category: Uncategorized

 

 

Seems as though Andy Reid found the formula for success in a huge win vs. the Giants. 30 passes and 30 runs excluding Michael Vick’s 6 scrambles. The Eagles got through a game with turning the ball over and Vick got hit far fewer times than the previous 3 games. It is almost scary to think what the Eagles could accomplish when they play this way. The defense played a stellar game holding the Giants offense to 366 total yards, 57 rushing and 309 passing, given the fact that Eli Manning threw it 42 times. LeSean McCoy is a premier running back and needs to have a significant role in this offense in order for the Eagles to be successful. The rushing attack was very effective racking up 191 total yards behind McCoy’s 123 yards on 23 carries. This brought play-action alive and gave Vick some much needed time and protection. The only inefficiency was kick-off coverage which surrendered 217 yards on 6 returns, providing the Giants with great field position and keeping the game close. Hopefully Andy Reid will continue to implement this sort of play calling the rest of the season, which will give the Eagles the best chance for success. The two games in which the play selection was balanced; the Ravens and Giants victory,  they were able to keep the turnovers to a minimum.

Next up, the Pittsburgh Steelers, which will probably be the sternest test for the Eagles defense thus far. The return of James Harrison and Troy Polamalu means that the Steeler defense will be at full strength, and the Steelers are a good defense vs. the run, even if they don’t have similar results in the running game they will still need to run the ball to keep this vaunted defense honest. If they come out and get pass happy again, it could be a long day for Vick and the turnover barrage could rear its ugly head again, and the Eagles will not survive a 3 turnover performance against this Steelers team.

 

Seth Joyner

The end is near for Reid

Author: Seth Joyner  //  Category: Archives, NFL, Uncategorized

Take nothing away from the AZ Cardinal, they basically dismantled the Philadelphia Eagles. The Eagles brain trust (Andy Reid and staff) did little to put their players, in particular his QB in position to succeed, and at the end of the day that’s their job. After all of the money that Eagles owner Jefferey Laurie has doled out to make this team a Super Bowl contender, even Laurie has got to be wondering what has gone amidst with his team.

Offensively, Reid is stubborn in his play-calling. No QB can survive against good defenses throwing the ball with the predictability and frequency that the Eagles do. Defenses are pinning their ears back and coming after the QB and playing the run on the way. LeSean McCoy is without question a top 5 running back in the NFL, it is unconscionable that he could go an entire half and only touch the football 5 time. Michael Vick needs to make better decisions with the football, but Reid’s play-calling is a direct reflection on how Vick is playing. The odds are that if you pass as much as they do, interceptions, sacks and fumbles are bound to happen, more balance lessens the odds. Lastly, when you lose two of your best offensive linemen, commons sense would tell you that position is now weaker. Why protection adjustments aren’t made is beyond my comprehension. The Cardinals ran the same blitz the entire 2nd half and the Eagles never adjusted, no max protection, no sight adjustments and no shortening of their routes to allow Vick to get the ball out of his hands quicker. If the Eagles ran the ball with consistency it would help a young inexperienced O-Line, keep defenses honest and protect a fragile QB that quite frankly this team can ill afford to be without.

It is always one thing or another with this team, when the offense is rolling the defense falls behind and vice verse when the defense is playing well, which is currently case. Defensively the front seven with the additions of Ryans and Kendricks at Linebacker, makes this a formidable defense. The secondary now needs to catch up. They never should’ve let Asante Samuels get away, Nnamdi Asomugha is a joke, how he’s gone from a elite player to an average player at best I don’t get. He looks lost, lacks confidence, looks timid and opponents see it, he’s gone from being a feared  shut-down corner, to the target each week. The rest of the secondary is young but making great strides each week.

The fact that the owner has allowed Reid to go into the final year of his contract without talks, speaks volumes about his future with the team. If the Eagles don’t advance to the Super Bowl I believe Reid is done in Philadelphia and rightfully so, it’s time for change. The way he’s coaching this team at this moment seems like he’s expediting his exit. I guess you really cannot teach an old dog new tricks, if he doesn’t run the ball, the fans, media and owner will run him out of the city of brotherly love. As with the players it is always about what have you done for me lately!

 

 

Seth Joyner


Author: Seth Joyner  //  Category: NFL, Uncategorized

 

 

 

The NFL’s worst nightmare is now a reality. To sell the replacement officials to the players, coaches and fans is a joke and the NFL owners and Commissioner is to blame. A missed call here, a incorrect call there from time to time is human, but the debacle we watched last night is a travesty for the league and the Green Bay Packers. The NFL officials are in place to enforce the rules of the game, like any sport we want the game officiated fairly, but the officials should never have a hand in determining the outcome of a game. That all changed last night as the Seattle Seahawks stole or were given a game they didn’t rightfully win. The NFL just compounded the issue in a statement they released stating that they stand by the referees call, not surprising. I was asked last week what I thought about the possibility of a quick resolution after the gaffes of weeks 1 and 2. I stated that the referees are not the commodity for the NFL, the players are. When the players were locked out last year I knew no games would be lost. The NFL is a 9 billion a year industry and the players nor the owners were looking forward to losing a penny, but officials are expendable. A resolution will not be realized because the officials do no affect the NFL’s bottom line, so the owners will continue to hold their line because they can. The noise and disgust of the players, coaches and fans do not affect the owners, only the all mighty dollar. The only thing that will bring resolution will be the fans not going to games, not watching the games on TV and ratings falling. You and I both know that won’t happen. We’ve all waited since February for football to return. With 17 regular season games opposed to 162 or 82 football fans won’t miss a quarter and the NFL owners know this. What’s at stake here, the integrity of the brand, the demise of the legitimacy  of wins and how that will probably affect teams that make or don’t make the playoffs and where they are seeded. In the end that should be determined strictly by the play on the field and the work the players put forth to get there, not by the owners, replacement refs or the regular refs.

 

Seth Joyner

PENN STATE PENALIZED

Author: Seth Joyner  //  Category: Uncategorized

 

 

The NCAA has spoken and Penn State football will probably be set back 10-15 years as a result of these sanctions. While the crimes of every person involved are severe, again the NCAA I believe has thrown out the baby with the bath water.

While the chain of command from the University President to Joe Paterno must share in the responsibility of what has occurred, the question has to be asked, what about the players who were exempt from fault here? All the players during the tenure of Sandusky and Paterno ever did was go to school, play football and represent Penn State University! All of their accomplishment and hard work do not deserve to be wiped out as if they never existed.

The fines are deserved, the taking down of the Paterno statue is the right thing to do and whatever becomes of the punishment of the administration and coaches involve are justifiable, but what about the young players that are a part of the Nittany Lion family now. No bowl game, loss of scholarships and the stress that now sits upon the shoulders of new head coach O’brien is unjustifiable!

The mistakes and misgivings of the few should not be applied to those who played no role in this travesty. The NCAA and college coaches preach all day long, no one individual is bigger or more important than the team, where is that reasoning with regards to the missteps of those who are suppose to be the examples to the young men who put their trust and loyalties in these coaches and university administrators?

I feel for the victims of Jerry Sandusky and the pain they will endure for a lifetime, but the NCAA really needs to look in the mirror and evaluate the process for penalizing university administrations, head coaches and assistants, because at the end of the day isn’t it about the kids and the team concept? Many will not agree with my assessment, many Penn State haters obviously are in heaven, but right is right and wrong is wrong and this is wrong in every way, the transgressions and iniquities of the fathers should not be passed on to the kids.

 

Seth Joyner

Voices begin when the cheering stops

Author: Seth Joyner  //  Category: Uncategorized

Professional athletes live lives quite different than that of everyday people. Those lives maybe privileged in some regards, desired, envied, and often revered by the masses. People are people and while some are destined for abundance and fame, others are not as fortunate. One thing is for certain each and every person in whose body courses blood and the breath of life, there is no difference. Life struggles and hardships, the stresses of life, wonderment with regards to self-worth, self-esteem, security and confidence are not immune to anyone.

 

It is assumed that life is grand in every way for professional athletes, most believe that living life on the pedestal of public adoration, and having no worry for money will produces the happiness in life that everyone seeks. Nothing could be further from the truth, because the only thing that fame and fortune ever provides is a sense of comfort about financial matters in one’s life. Athletes are not super human, although sometimes they are viewed as such. If cut while shaving they bleed, disappointments and failure produces questions in their minds like any other person. Their egos sit front and center as a necessity to their line of work, but also to their detriment. Problems within their lives are magnified because they live in plain view of the public eye and the public’s opinion, make no bones about it, they experience normal everyday issues but on a much more public scale.

 

Problematically most athlete’s self-esteem and security is wrapped up in what they do and what they accomplish, it defines them in a sense. They find acceptance and self-worth in that thing which they’ve spent the greater part of their life preparing to accomplish. The cheering and fan adulation can be intoxicating, almost addictive, but like all things, too much of anything is not good for you. Life is grand, mission accomplished, so they believe, until the cheering stops and the reality of retire looms because the body can no longer respond to the commands of the mind, or they’re replaced with the vigor and exuberance of youth necessary to compete in professional sports. The voices then begin, because for the first time in life doubt and self-questioning settles into minds that have been developed to operate in unflinching confidence. Most of the people within pro athletes inner circle, those entrust their well-being, rarely aide them in preparation for this new chapter in life. Ego and pride will never allow them to express the trepidation they face or feel, because that would show a sense of weakness, and they have been bread to never show weakness. As this new life begins to unfold who will they confide in or who will they go to for help? They attempt to solve life’s problems all alone in silence, never enlisting the guidance of those who can and want to truly help them. For the first time in some regards, they experience failure that systematically eats away at their supremely developed confidence.

 

A mind can be weakened in the same way it can be strengthened. Most believe that we enter this life with a measure of mental toughness; you either have it or you do not. But to a man or woman, athletes will admit that a set of circumstances occurred during their youth years that helped galvanize a tough mind set. When their playing days are over, this same mental toughness is the seat of their perpetual downfall; if it is to be, it up to me, I am the only one to fix my problems and issues. Many people have assisted them in achieving their life goal of becoming a pro athlete, but when it comes to their personal life and problems, they attempt to remedy them solely on their own, often times to the point of self- destruction. The voices they hear now are the voices of doubt, they are braving a new world in which they are ill equipped to survive or thrive in, but somehow they move forward believing that by chance things will fall into place. The truth is, “We don’t know what we don’t know, and we cannot do what we don’t know,” but they have been trained to conquer, not question. As the voices get louder, the stresses become greater all the while pressure continues to mount.

 

Professional football players endure added obstacles to those of most other sports. Concussions are a dangerous, debilitating and degenerative reality for a lot of players. Today there exist much more awareness about the harmful nature and long term effects of concussions. But what about those gentlemen who played the game when a concussion was looked upon as having your “bell rung”, when a player was told to “tape an aspirin on it and get back out there”or when a player out of fear for losing his job went back onto the field when he clearly was not ready? Many ex-players are suffering today and many of the issues I’ve written about here plague not only their post professional, but economic and relational lives, most importantly their mental health life. Once superman, always superman and perceived as superman in every area of life. As many former players struggle with issues, their well-being is of grave concern. Junior Seau took his own life, as did Dave Duerson and Andre Waters, there are others not listed here. Dave left a note explaining in detail the voices that plagued his mind and life, and donating his brain so that medicine would confirm what he believed drove him to suicide, Junior and Andre left no such note. We are left to ponder what demons they struggled to overcome. The big question for me is where were those who knew these guys best, was there someone who could have aided them in deciphering the voices in their heads, someone to help them overcome their post profession problems. These men were sons, fathers, brothers, friends and hero’s to many, where were the ears of compassion and understanding when they really, really needed it most? More importantly when will the NFL, NFLPA and players realize that there’s more to life than football, every player who wears an NFL uniform is forever linked and a representative of the shield, the NFLPA should be representative of all players, present and former alike? Lastly Players also have to come to the realization that help is available and there’s no weakness or vulnerability in crying out for help; someone cares. When it is a matter of health and wellness, of life and death, pride and ego must be put checked, because suicide may seem like the easy way out, but consider those who are left to suffer when a loved one takes their life, Mothers and Fathers, sons and daughters, friends and extended family members, children are supposed to bury their parents, not parents burying their kids.

 

In memory of Junior Seau, Dave Duerson and Andre Waters and those who have lost their battle with voices, and those suffering now, may your death and pain not be in vain.

 

Seth Joyner

2012 NFL Salary Cap

Author: Seth Joyner  //  Category: Uncategorized

 

The NFL in an article released today will be raising the salary cap by $7 million from $113 million to $120 million for the upcoming 2012 season. All I can say is WOW! For a corporate entity that just last off-season tried to make the players look like greedy prisoners, desiring to run the asylum, a bump of this magnitude in the cap has me scratching my head a bit.

Let’s look at the reason for last years NFL lock out to see if we can discover a pattern of how the NFL propagandize their objectives. The owners want the general public to love the players enough to attend games, buy the jersey’s, which players do not revenue share in, purchase season tickets and tune into radio and TV broadcasts, which ups their ratings. This greatly increases the value of their product and generates greater marketing revenues for the league. The owners reason for the lockout was a claim that they were loosing revenues and couldn’t operate under the current CBA. They requested that the NFL Players give back a few Billion to help alleviate their financial stress. One thing I do know about negotiating is, you never go up, so you better start high because you always go down from the starting point. As players you cannot go backwards on ground gained, because every time the CBA is up the owners will try to take  back something they’ve given.

I’m not a CPA or financial wizard by any stretch, but today’s action to raise the cap is evidence that the owners will lie, beg, borrow and/or steal, to accomplish their goals. And if that includes throwing their greatest commodity (players) under the public bus of opinion, so be it.

Simple math always springs forth truth. The NFL salary cap is a direct reflection of how well the league is doing financially, because the player salary cap is based upon a percentage of total revenues (60-65%). This number however does not include NFL properties, which is the $3 Billion plus marketing arm of the NFL. So If the NFL was hurting financially last year as they claimed, common sense would direct me to study the salary cap. This is the one definitive financial line item that would tell the truth. There is no way that the NFL could possibly have lost revenue without it being reflected in the lowering of the salary cap, and yet they just increased it by $7 million dollars!

I am all for the players getting what they can, they deserve it every bit they get. If the owners couldn’t pay what they do, believe me, they wouldn’t. The truth always like cream, rises to the top. The players and public need to wake up to the lies of pro sports leagues and their owners. How can you possibly have a major presence in all broadcasting  mediums, which perfectly positions them for advertising and marketing revenues, sell product at the rate that they do, charge the ticket prices they do, and cry that they’re losing money? One thing big corporate businesses do not do, is lose money, and believe me pro sports are more about, and run like big businesses today than ever. 

 

 

Seth Joyner

 

Seth Joyner